Oooo weeee we got TNF tonight! And no, I’m not talking about Thursday night football, I’m talking TUESDAY night football! HA – same letter! Ok, let’s get down to business. I’m addicted to TD pass prop bets at the moment. I was able to lock in a free money bet with Justin Herbert last night. Damn thing hit before halftime too. See receipt below.
And just like that, I’m addicted to these props. Let’s take a look at tonight’s Bills vs. Titans matchup, shall we?
Alright, now listen up. I’m not opposed to either of these quarterbacks throwing over 1.5 tuddys. Tannehill threw 2 TDs in Week 1, 4 TDs in Week 2, and 0 TDs in his last game vs the Vikings. HOWEVER, there is a smarter play out there. Josh Allen has thrown at least 2 TDs in every game he’s played so far. In fact, in his first 4 games, he has thrown a whopping 12 TDs. For all you math nerds out there, that’s an average of 3 TDs per game. Are you reading what I’m spelling out for you??
Take Josh Allen at Over 2.5 TD Passes. With +160 odds, that’s a great value bet. And here’s a little extra pro tip: take him at Over 1.5 as well for insurance to cover the money you put in on the 2.5 TD bet. That way, you hit BIG if he throws 3 TD, but don’t lose any money if he hits his floor of 2 TDs. Of course, you could lose it all if he throws 1 TD or GOD FORBID ZERO. But I’m not thinking about that outcome. I’m thinking about the real future. The future of free money.
Featured image by (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee) via Syracuse