Dodgers take the first game in the World Series and Game 2 is tonight. You could bet on the winner (Rays +118 / Dodgers -139) of the game. You could bet on the over/under (8). Hell, you could even bet on whether a certain player will have a hit (ex. Cody Bellinger +330). All of that is good and dandy. But there’s a better prop bet out there: no runs in the first inning (NRFI).
Popularized by the Bleacher Report podcast, LockyTown, NRFI is actually a fun bet. And it’s very simple… bet on no team scoring in the first inning of the ball game. So, what are the odds for a bet like this? See screenshot below from DraftKings for tonight’s game.
Pretty even odds, with NRFI being slightly favored. Now, I’m not going to say this is #freemoney because it’s not. In fact, looking at the ALCS and NLCS games leading up to the World Series (of which 14 games were played), there were only 3 games that had scoreless first innings. 3 out of 14 games… that’s pretty wild. Especially considering the odds favor the NRFI bet! So why should you bet on NRFI? Well because the Astros and the Braves aren’t playing. Remember those 14 League Championship games we just talked about? The Astros and Braves played spoiler and scored in the first inning 7 times combined. Quick math… that’s half of the games. The Rays and Dodgers are a different story though.
The Rays scored in the first inning only twice in the AL Division Series (5 games total) and twice again in the AL Championship Series (7 games total). That’s 4 out of 12 games. The Dodgers are even more impressive at not scoring in the first inning. They scored ZERO times in the NL Division Series (3 games total… SWEEP) and twice in the NL Championship Series (7 games total). That’s 2 out of 10 games. Makes more sense now huh?
Oh and the NRFI hit in Game 1 last night. So, just keep riding it every game. Makes the first inning fun and then you can leave for a few innings because watching the whole game is boring.
Featured image by MLB
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