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The Breeders’ Cup: Betting Guide

Written by Casimir Moninghoff

November 7, 2020

$6 million dollars, that is what is on the line today for 10 jockeys and their teams. This field is stacked, and even has a horse who dealt with controversy: Maximum Security. Let’s go over the field and make our picks!


In 2019, Tacitus finished 3rd in the Kentucky Derby and 2nd in the Belmont Stakes. This year, Tacitus came 5th in the inagural Saudi Cup. Today, the opening odds on Tacitus are 20-1. As a horse that is always in contention to make the podium, Tacitus fits well into most box plays.

Tiz The Law

2nd place in the Kentucky derby, and the Belmont Stakes Champion. Tiz The Law opens this morning at 3-1 odds and is one of the clear favorites. However, with a loaded field, I would look to take Tiz The Law in a box or to at least place.


2nd place in the Preakness Stakes, and Kentucky Derby Champion. Authentic was the favorite to win the Preakness, but was upset in a close finish. Opening at 6-1 odds, Authentic is one of the favorites and will certainly be in contention.

Maximum Secuirty

In 2019, Maximum Security won a fantastic race in the Kentucky Derby. It looked as though Maximum Security may begin a run at the Triple Crown even. However, after looking at numerous replays, it was confirmed that the horse had moved out of position and forced some horses to stop, shift, and avoid running into each other. It was slightly, but it did happen and it resulted in Maximum Security being disqualified. Doping allegations under the previous owner have also called results into question. However, Bob Baffert is the new owner and his horses usually have success. I do not see this being an issue today.

One year later, Maximum Security won the inagural Saudi Cup, the world’s richest horse race. Opening at 7-2 odds, Maximum Security is my pick to win the Breeders Cup.


Improbable beat Maximum Security in late Stempter at the Awesome Again Stakes. Opening at 5-2 odds, and winning the last three races, Improbable does have a chance in a box play or to upset Maximum Secuirty again if you want a straight winner.


I am going with Maximum Security to win the Breeders Cup and I would absolutely make a Superfecta Box or an Exacta Box with these five horses.


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Follow me on Twitter: @CaseyMoninghoff


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