The Zags are heavily favored at -13.5 against a Creighton team that can shoot very well. It would not surprise me if the BlueJays were able to cover in a loss, but I do not see that happening. Creighton is a good team, but when they are outrebounded even on a day when they shoot well the game is close. We saw that in the opening round. Gonzaga should win the rebounding battle and while it may be a close opening 5 to 10 minutes, I expect Gonzaga to pull away and win again. It will be another test passed on their way to the Final Four and potentially history.
When Florida St. is hot, they are hot as they showed against Colorado shooting over 52% from the field. Michigan is not about to go down so easily though. They defend very well and come into this game favored by -2.5. Michigan does not average the amount of steals for a team you would think is good defensively, but their height and pressure make it difficult to get a clean look. When you do, you need to hit them, and I do not see Florida State hitting 50% against the Wolverines. The Wolverines will force Florida St. into some mistakes that will cause them to turn the ball over and rebounding will be a huge factor. Look for the Wolverines to outrebound the Seminoles and win this game by double digits on their way to a Final Four matchup potentially with Gonzaga.
The Bruins are playing with house money on a nice road to the Sweet 16. Unfortunately for them, this is where that run ends. Alabama is shooting lights out as of late, I do not see that ending. The Tide are favored by -6.5 and I expect them to flex their experience and height inside to dominate on the glass and run away with this one. Out of all the Sweet 16 games, I expect this to be the least competitive. UCLA is playing well and can shoot well, but Alabama is on another level this year. The Tide will cover and advance to the Elite 8.
Perhaps the game of the day/night comes in a rematch of a Pac-12 game earlier this year. A game in which the Ducks won 72-58. A lot has changed in the last month though. USC is coming off their best game of the season against Kansas where they shot almost 60% from the field and over 60% from 3. The Trojans rebound extremely well and play excellent defense, but the Ducks are coming in just as hot. Oregon just played its best game of the season against Iowa, shooting 56% from the field and 44% from 3. It is very hard to beat the same time multiple times in the same season, however; I do see the Ducks squeaking this one out. No, this is not because I am a Notre Dame fan. The Ducks have a bit more experience than USC does and while they are slight underdogs at +2, I do see them beating the Trojans again, but it will be much closer than the 14 point game from the end of February. Look for the Ducks to win and cover.
The Tournament is winding down now as we have the Elite 8 set after today and these games have been fantastic! Good luck with your bets!
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